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3barr vs reg

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AriGold1980
Joined: 22.05.2010

villain plays 26/21/8 fto3b 70 in btn 4b range 4% in btn
btn OR 48
ftocb in 3bpot 46/40/36
wtsd 26
w$sd 54

SB: $43.37 (86.7 bb)
Hero (BB): $76.08 (152.2 bb)
UTG: $50 (100 bb)
MP: $50 (100 bb)
CO: $91.48 (183 bb)
BTN: $66.54 (133.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A J
3 folds, BTN raises to $1.31, SB folds, Hero raises to $4.62, BTN calls $3.31

Flop: ($9.49) K 7 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $4.74, BTN calls $4.74

Turn: ($18.97) K (2 players)
Hero bets $12.48, BTN calls $12.48

River: ($43.93) 2 (2 players)
Hero ??

What do you think about making him fold 99-QQ on river ?


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2 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi.

River is kind of close.

Not Folding
77 - 3 combos
66 - 3 combos
KQ - 8 combos
KJs - 2 combos
KTs - 2 combos
Flushes - 10-15 combos?
28-33 combos

Folding?
QQ - 3 out of 6 combos (may 4bet)
JJ - 6 combos
TT - 6 combos
99 - 6 combos
88 - 6 combos
7Xs - 5 combos?
32 combos

If my assumptions are true, then bluffing the River is fine. Would bet like 30$ here as I think it would suffice and wouldn't bother about balance too much.

Thanks.


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dozeer
Joined: 25.07.2011

yeah looks close, but I think KJo is in his pf calling range too, (I fold a lot to 3bets but KJo is std call for me here).

So I'd like to bluff the riv only with good Q, J and/or club blockers like AQ or AJ w/ a club if you barrel those


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