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Nl100 77

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boomslang31
Joined: 01.04.2012

PKR, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

MP: $130.40 (130.4 bb)
CO: $124.50 (124.5 bb)
Hero (BTN): $101.50 (101.5 bb)
SB: $92.40 (92.4 bb)
BB: $106.30 (106.3 bb)
UTG: $109.55 (109.6 bb)

BB is weaker reg. 30/23/7 7.2k hand sample. 5% flop ch/raise.

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 7 7
2 folds, CO raises to $3, Hero calls $3, SB folds, BB calls $2

Flop: ($9.50) T 4 7 (3 players)
BB checks, CO bets $6.33, Hero calls $6.33, BB raises to $20.57, CO folds, Hero calls $14.24

I dont think he'd play like this with Fd here, he would call with draws IMO.
He can have Flushes, and sets. I've seen him 3bet/5bet TT against the same aggressor, so there is a less chance he's holding TT.

Turn: ($56.97) 3 (2 players)
BB bets $38, Hero raises to $77.93 and is all-in, BB calls $39.93

What do you think the best play is here?

River: ($212.83) 9 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

$212.83 pot ($3 rake)
Final Board: T 4 7 3 9
Hero showed 7 7 and lost (-$101.50 net)
BB showed 6 9 and won $209.83 ($108.33 net)


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi.

1. BB is extremely loose preflop. I wouldn't be surprised to see him have all sorts of suited hands here, being given great odds of 20%.
2. He is weak/passive, with such a low Flop CR

I think it's safe to say that he has a flush here on the Flop like 60-70% of the time. Would he check/raise a set here? Maybe.

Flop: You have some implied odds, and there's a lot of money left behind

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: Tc4c7c
Equity Win Tie
MP2 56.13% 55.75% 0.38% { 44, TsTc, KcQc, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, Ac9c, Jc9c, Ac8c, Qc8c, 9c8c, Ac6c, 8c6c, Ac5c, 6c5c, Ac3c, Ac2c }
MP3 43.87% 43.50% 0.38% { 7h7s }

Turn: Look at how much your equity dropped. By shoving the turn here, I think you are giving yourself odds of around 36.6% (risk 78$ to win 213).

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: Tc4c7c3d
Equity Win Tie
MP2 65.03% 65.03% 0.00% { 44, TsTc, KcQc, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, Ac9c, Jc9c, Ac8c, Qc8c, 9c8c, Ac6c, 8c6c, Ac5c, 6c5c, Ac3c, Ac2c }
MP3 34.97% 34.97% 0.00% { 7h7s }

I think it's kind of close and your equity should increase further if villain is expected to have the occasional A:cX type of holding.


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