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PLO10 KQQJs

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Hortberg
Joined: 16.07.2009

Poker Stars $10.00 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players - View hand 2290724
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG: $18.07 - VPIP: 39, PFR: 19, 3B: 5, AF: 1.5, Hands: 439
MP: $12.10 - VPIP: 53, PFR: 41, 3B: 19, AF: 4.8, Hands: 75
Hero (CO): $12.42 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 14, 3B: 4, AF: 3.4, Hands: 53251
BTN: $9.06 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 14, 3B: 4, AF: 3.4, Hands: 92
SB: $10.08 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 11, 3B: 3, AF: 1.0, Hands: 2637
BB: $8.02 - VPIP: 31, PFR: 23, 3B: 0, AF: Infinity, Hands: 64

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with K :club: Q :heart: J :club: Q :club:
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.35, BTN calls $0.35, SB calls $0.30, BB calls $0.25

Flop: ($1.40) K :heart: Q :diamond: 2 :heart: (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $1.20, BTN folds, SB calls $1.20, BB folds

Turn: ($3.80) 7 :club: (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3.20, SB calls $3.20

River: ($10.20) A :diamond: (2 players)
SB bets $5.33, Hero ?

Note on villian: Able to blockplay.

My reasoning

OTF: The boards is wet/heavy slightly static board. The flop does hit his range, such as KK**, KQJT-T987, AhBhBB .
I cbet this board pretty much with 100% of my range, since it hit my range hard.

I expect villian to raise KK**, AhBhBB on this board, since he seems capable of knowing his equity postflop. AQJTs is flipping against me and is a favorite against my whole range.
Therefore I think his range is weighted more towards a FD.

OTT:
Complete blank. I bet to protect myself against the FD and basically turning my hand faceup.
When he calls again i'm more inclined to think he's only rocking the FD. The same reasoning applies here if he were to have combodraw, I expect him to be more aggressive(even with his low agg.fact) with an SPR of ~2.5 and would get the money in.

Don't think he's calling a naked JT** with a threat of drawing dead or splitting versus my turnbet.

OTR:
One of the worst cards.
Experience has taught vs unknown, this is always the nuts. Versus villian I interpet this in two ways.
1. Missed FD, good chance of folding better hand since boards is scary. Maybe with blockers.
2. Ship, because don't wan't a check behind to lose value.
I've seen villian do blocker plays in the past.

We need to be right (20.86/5.33)=26% of the time to breakeven.

Thoughts?


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2 replies
Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Hi,

Once you cbet flop into 3 people, it's quite clear you are very strong. I definetly would understand someone just calling with a nutty draw, especially if there's a possibility of people calling behind.

Turn you can even pot it. Like you said, you are repping the nuts, so why not get extra 12bb's ott when he calls?

River i think is a fold. From my experience, this is very rarely a blocker play. I know it's hard to muck it, but i think it's the best play. Villain knows that you have a strong hand, and he definetly isn't gonna try to bluff a hand like QQxx+ here, because at plo10 noone folds that. You have a blocker read, but that doesn't mean it's blockers always. So imo it's a value bet.

Regards,

Skodljivec


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Hortberg
Joined: 16.07.2009

Yeah I don't know why I didn't pot. It would also create some extra fold equity.

Agree with the riverplay, At what stakes might we see this kind of blocker play from villain, PLO50?

Thanks for the input! :f_biggrin:


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