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PLO25 AQJ5s

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Hortberg
Joined: 16.07.2009
Oldschool Grinder

Poker Stars $25.00 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players - View hand 2292925
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

MP: $10.00 - VPIP: 81, PFR: 45, 3B: 25, AF: 3.1, Hands: 62
CO: $25.00 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 14, 3B: 10, AF: 2.2, Hands: 147
Hero (BTN): $25.00 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 14, 3B: 4, AF: 3.5, Hands: 59848
SB: $36.13 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 4, 3B: 0, AF: 0.8, Hands: 28
BB: $25.00 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 19, 3B: 6, AF: 3.6, Hands: 174
UTG: $18.94 - VPIP: 32, PFR: 4, 3B: 3, AF: 0.8, Hands: 114

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with Q :spade: J :heart: A :diamond: 5 :spade:
1 fold, MP raises to $0.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.50, 1 fold, BB calls $0.25

Flop: ($1.60) 6 :club: T :spade: K :diamond: (3 players)
BB bets $1.00, MP calls $1, Hero calls $1

Turn: ($4.60) 7 :diamond: (3 players)
BB checks, MP bets $4.40, Hero folds, BB folds

My thoughts
SPR ~15
Board is medium dry/heavy board
BB donks a wide range, On this type of board, I think villian donks a wide range, mostly weak/medium strength hands.And the MP seems to have some part of it.

If we raise flop and get called we have 13 outs to a straight and all outs are nut outs + BDFD.
If assume worst possible case, a set, we have around 10 clean outs ~39%.
EV= (.39*49.5)-(.61*24.5) = 4.32$ (with rake)
EV(0) = 33%
If the fish also comes along+the times they fold should increase EV.

What is the best play?

As played or ship flop?
I can see it go either way.


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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011
BlackMember

Hi,

definetly 3bet preflop. You are kilometers ahead of a guy playing 81/45 with AQJx. You don't want to share the fish with the BB reg now do you?

As played i think you played it good. If you would have a pair to go with your draw i'd say raise flop. However it would suck for MP to turn AKQ and have you in bad shape, so calling is definetly good here.

I also like the disciplined fold OTT. If you were deep vs a strong reg you could call with the intention of repping diamonds on the river as well.

Regards,

Skodljivec


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