Hello,
villain seems to be fishy.
Preflop: He minraises and I'm OOP but because he's fishy I think I can call
Flop: He has a cbet of 100% (5) and I expect him to cbet this with almost all his hands, thus I go for a x/r with the intention of shoving. If I give him a shoverange of JJ+ I'm only slightly behind (45% equity). I also have enormous FE for his non-high-pp hands. He hasn't 3bet before in 100 hands so I don't expect him to have 22/77/66 often. Maybe he'll throw in some spewy shoves too.
So I think shoving is +EV but is it better than calling? His AF is 1.8 but what do I do when he calls and my flush doesn't hit?
PartyGaming - $0.04 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
SB: 33.75 BB (VPIP: 75.00, PFR: 75.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
BB: 48 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
UTG: 21 BB (VPIP: 48.78, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 41)
Hero (MP): 106.25 BB
CO: 87.5 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 15.15, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 101)
BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 12.54, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 3.66, Hands: 339)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9♦ A♦
fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, CO raises to 5 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 2 BB
Flop: (11.5 BB, 2 players) 7♦ 6♦ 2♠
Hero checks, CO bets 8.25 BB, Hero raises to 25 BB, fold
Spoiler
Hero wins 26.75 BB