Originally posted by Vincey101
just to add, u were saying alot of coin flips to get itm? you are actually quite wrong, for number one, u say ALOT of coin flips, i played extremely tight, whenever i had my chips in the middle, i was more than enough certain that i had the best, i avoided many beats i believe, i played very well, i have never played a Buyin tournament over $5, that was my first time, i managed to hit 2 ft's in 3 days... i find it more skill! dont get me wrong, i did have luck, i was running very well.
i think you are misunderstanding him.
lets say you have KK. you shove all in. you get called.
against Ax you are an 80/20 favorite or thereabouts, against anything lower you are 90/10. against a lower pocket you are 30/70.
so, lets say a lower pocket calls you every time.
that means that on the first one you have a 70/30 chance, and on the 2nd one, 70/30 again.
however the chance of you winning both of them in a row is 40% of 70%.
30% all up.
i realise these are not the right numbers, but you get the point. the chances of you winning 10 x 20/80's in a row(you would need to win at least 10 hands to win a MTT) is very very low