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J9s: Bluff the River in a 3bet Pot? (nl 50)

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jonzocker
Joined: 21.08.2011

IPoker No-Limit Hold'em, £0.50 BB (4 Spieler) - IPoker Converter Tool from http://de.flopturnriver.com

UTG (£61.01)
Button (£49.25)
Hero (SB) (£50.25)
BB (£91.25)

Preflop: Hero ist SB mit 9, J
1 fold, Button raises £1.50, Hero raises £3.75, 1 fold, Button calls £2.50

Flop: (£8.50) 6, 8, 10 (2 Spieler)
Hero bets £4.50, Button calls £4.50

Turn: (£17.50) 8 (2 Spieler)
Hero bets £9, Button calls £9

River: (£35.50) K (2 Spieler)
Hero bets £32.75 (All-In)

Villain is unknown (9 hands)
BB 19/13 3b BB 10% (30) on 192 hands

First, what do you 3bet and what do you call in this Spot against an unknown player, who is 100bb deep and oR 3bb?

My 3b Range:

JJ+, 66-44, AQs+, A9s-A2s, K9s, Q9s, J9s, T8s, 97s, 86s, 76s, 65s, 54s, AQo+, ATo, KTo, QTo, JTo

My Callingrange:

TT-77, AJs-ATs, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, AJo, KJo+, QJo

Villain calls and I think he has somthing like this in his range:

JJ-77, AQs-ATs, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, T9s, AQo-AJo, KQo

My Plan on the flop is betting, with the intention to bet a lot of Turncards, because Villain cann call me once w 77/99/OC. When he calls my bet on the flop I think he has a range like this:


Board: T♦8♦6♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    64.20%  63.78%   0.43% { JJ, 99, 77, ATs, KTs, QTs, JTs, T9s, AdQd, AhQh, KdQd, KhQh, AdJd, AhJh, KdJd, KhJh, QdJd, QhJh, AdQh, AdQs, AdQc, AdJh, AdJs, AdJc }
MP3    35.80%  35.37%   0.43% { Js9s }

I would assume, that he is raising his sets on this flop, so I do not see them in his callingrange...

I think the 8 is not a terrible card for me, because he folds his AdXx and KhJh hands etc probably now. Because of this and our Equity I have vs Tx/JJ betting is imo the right play.

At the river I have 0 SD Value:


Board: T♦8♦6♥ 8♣ K♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2   100.00% 100.00%   0.00% { JJ, ATs, KTs, QTs, JTs, T9s, AdQd, KdQd, AdJd, KdJd, QdJd }
MP3     0.00%   0.00%   0.00% { Js9s }

I pushed the river, because I assume, that he is folding his Tx hands and maby JJ (if he do not 3bet it pre).

I think the question is, if I should assume that he is folding AT on the River?

When I have a good Range at the River, he can only call me with ATs, when I have all my bluffs in my shippingrange, and I probably do not push all my busted nut FDs here, because I have less FE...


Board: T♦8♦6♥ 8♣ K♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    65.49%  65.49%   0.00% { KK+, 66, AKs, A8s, J9s, T8s, 97s, 86s, AdQd, Ad9d, Kd9d, Qd9d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KTo }
MP3    34.51%  34.51%   0.00% { ATs }

I think this pushingrange is much more realistic, and against this he can not call..


Board: T♦8♦6♥ 8♣ K♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    75.00%  75.00%   0.00% { KK+, 66, A8s, J9s, T8s, 97s, 86s, AdKd, AhKh, Ad9d, Kd9d, Qd9d, Ad7d, Ad6d, KTo }
MP3    25.00%  25.00%   0.00% { ATs }


Board: T♦8♦6♥ 8♣ K♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    80.00%  80.00%   0.00% { KK+, 66, A8s, J9s, T8s, 97s, 86s, AdKd, AhKh, Ad9d, Kd9d, Qd9d, Ad7d, Ad6d, KTo }
MP3    20.00%  20.00%   0.00% { JTs }


Board: T♦8♦6♥ 8♣ K♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    83.78%  83.78%   0.00% { KK+, 66, A8s, J9s, T8s, 97s, 86s, AdKd, AhKh, Ad9d, Kd9d, Qd9d, Ad7d, Ad6d, KTo }
MP3    16.22%  16.22%   0.00% { JJ }

So what do you think about the push, which hands do you push as a bluff and what is your 3b/Cc Range preflop and your line postflop? Do you call JJ/ATs in this Spot vs. an unknown player?

Cheers Jonas


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Hi,

I think he may often raise turn his JJ, since board is very drawy. It is likely 50/50 is he folds JJ/AT on the river. It mostly depends on your image, if you have been tight then he would most likely fold, if you have been loosing some pots, then he is likely calling. Since you block J, I doubt he has there too often JJ, so you´re trying to make him fold either tp hand, which sometimes works and sometimes not.
K seems scary card, but generally players would not assume you barreling there KQ/AK without diamonds and also your 3-bet size pre-flop isn´t that big that I would give AK in your range.

But since he should mostly fold his 77/99 and flushdraws I think your river shove should be fine

best regards,


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