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AA facing mr on flop 3bpot

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MrTrocks
Joined: 25.03.2006

$0.50 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (SB): 304.68 BB
BB: 115.8 BB(VPIP: 29.86, PFR: 18.75, 3Bet Preflop: 5.81, Hands: 585)
CO: 29.88 BB (VPIP: 34.29, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 35)
BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 20.95, PFR: 16.65, 3Bet Preflop: 8.99, Hands: 1,116)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9♣ A♦ T♣ A♥

fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BB raises to 9 BB, Hero raises to 27 BB, BB calls 18 BB

Flop: (54 BB, 2 players) Q♦ 7♥ K♠
Hero bets 30 BB, BB raises to 60 BB, Hero ?,

3b 6%
af flop
wwsf 38
wtsd 25
raise cb 15%
craise 8%
af 2,68

whats ure flopline here just fold or ev turn or just ship it

the thing here is he knows often that my range is AA or strong KK so he should not thing that i will fold to his mr
so his mr seems strong here

but could we really fold here with this spr?


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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Hi,

there's no way you can fold here imo. The SPR is too low. You need something like 38% vs his entire range for your shove to be + EV here. And you have that vs KQxx which is often the top of his range.

Regards,

Skod


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