Poker Stars $1/$2 Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
CO posts a big blind (1 SB)
Pre Flop: (2.5 SB) Hero is MP1 with A♥ J♠
3 folds, Hero raises, 4 folds, BB calls
Flop: (5.5 SB) 8♥ 7♦ 9♥ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB raises, Hero calls
Turn: (4.75 BB) K♣ (2 players)
BB bets, Hero folds
VPIP/PFR/TAF/WTSD%/Hands
BB : 21/11/1.26/35/203
Ok preflop and flop very standard i feel.
Ok so on turn lets say i dont believe he has the king there most of the time cos of his flop check raise. So i got 3 Aces, 3 Jacks, anf 4 Tens.
So i got 10 unclean outs.
Ok so now is where i need some help in discounting. I mean we gotta consider flush draw, my J no good if he has a Ten or a King.
If i discount for flush cards and assume my J is good then i got 7 outs.
If i further discount the J i got 5 outs.
Also gotta consider there are time i am drawing to a split or dead.
Getting 5.75 to 1 on my money so i need just shy of 7 outs.
Is my above thinking correct and is the fold turn good ?