Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 4 players - View hand 2367400
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter
CO: $25.68 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 15, 3B: 4, AF: 3,5, Hands: 102
Hero (BTN): $11.41 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 15, 3B: 6, AF: 3,6, Hands: 193101
SB: $11.88 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 15, 3B: 14, AF: 0,0, Hands: 81
BB: $9.22 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 13, 3B: 5, AF: 1,5, Hands: 75
Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with A♠ A♦
CO raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $0.80, 2 folds, CO calls $0.50
Flop: ($1.75) K♠ 8♣ K♦ (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $0.80, CO calls $0.80
Turn: ($3.35) 8♥ (2 players)
CO checks, Hero checks
River: ($3.35) 5♣ (2 players)
CO bets $1.60, Hero folds
Final Pot: $3.35
CO wins $3.20
(Rake: $0.15)
What to do against this river bet ?
First of all, preflop I have to raise to 90 cents instead of 80. That's probably a misclick on my side. Flop is not too bad, so I decide to bet, still expecting weaker hands to call and definitely not folding to 1 bet (pairs like 99-JJ, maybe QQ too). Don't really know if villain has a lot of 8's in his range here, like 89 or 78. Kings possibly too, although I think not much more than maybe KQ from time to time (and I am even not sure about this)... I also think that he has some floats (Ace highs) in his range...
On the turn, weaker pairs still could call, but I decided to pot control here, and planning to value bet the river when checked to me, still expecting 88+ to call, or maybe even A high given my line.
With that in mind, I didn't believe that villain would bet without a strong hand here (which is a K or an 8). I would expect him to check/call his 88+ and maybe even ace-high. So when he bets, I folded. Would he be able to do that with A high and as a bluff ? What's the likelihood versus pot odds here ? I am getting a quite good price too, only have to be right 33 % of the time to break-even.
Some advice on this hand ?