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[Closed] nl400 - flopplay vs strong donkbet

3 Posts
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TwiceT
Joined: 15.07.2007

i talked about this hand with some colleagues, stoved around and finally think it's a fold on the flop ... however, i'm not sure.
vs the range i gave him (sets, combo draws [oesd+fd, pair+fd ....], AK) i have ~30% equity .... the question now is: does he ever bet/fold flop with a weak A or KK,QQ that he flattet pre or anything else?

villain plays 32/20 and is very aggressive for a fr table (pre and post) ... sample size just 90 hands.

No-Limit Hold'em, $4.00 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($482.10)
Hero (Button) ($423.70)
SB ($632.50)
BB ($400)
UTG ($94)
UTG+1 ($96.50)
MP1 ($740.30)
MP2 ($450.90)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q♣, 9♣
3 folds, MP2 raises $14, 1 fold, Hero raises $42, SB calls $40, 2 folds

Flop: ($102) 7♣, A♣, 8♠ (2 players)
SB bets $76, Hero raises $200, SB raises $514.50 (All-In), Hero calls $181.70 (All-In)

Turn: ($865.40) 2♥ (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: ($865.40) 6♠ (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $865.40


2 replies
xylere
Joined: 28.05.2007

If he is aggressive, why would he flat preflop with KK? )
also don't think there are many weak aces in his range
but even if there are, i still don't think he is callinfg raise/3bet preflop with weak ace to bet/fold flop when he hit :)

Looks like he doesn't fold here to often, so a raise doesn't make much sense


Timor83
Joined: 08.06.2007

I don't like the flopraise at all. There is only 181$ left and you probably shouldn't ever fold if he shoves, but you will be crushed against his range. It doesn't make much sense for him to be playing anything other than AK and perhaps AQ like this, aside from a pure bluff. Even if he's aggro, he's also flatcalling a 3-bet OOP and leading on the flop, that's pretty strong.
Call and hope to check it down, if he bets the turn again I'm pretty much always folding.