This one may be simple (think I made a mistake here today) but I want to ask you guys anyways.
SB is unknown player but pretty aggressive. 27 hands 54/46 vpip/pfr, his SB steal is 100% (total 6 hands). These are all stats just for bubble!
BTN is reg, 292 hands 29/24 folding BB to steal (in next hand assuming I fold this) 80% (calling 16% 3 betting 4%).
Looking at this hand after I played it I would fold K2o as CL here and continue to abuse bubble and mid stack reg BVB but my question is this:
As CL for 5bb are you calling whole nash range here?
Assuming opponent shoves 74.0%, 22+ Qx+ J2s+ J5o+ T2s+ T6o+ 93s+ 96o+ 84s+ 86o+ 73s+ 75o+ 63s+ 65o 52s+ 54o 43s . Now from stats we see that he shoved all hands so far from SB so we can even expect wider range then 74% (if not ATC).
We should call vs nash range : 46.9%, 22+ Kx+ Q3s+ Q6o+ J7s+ J9o+ T8s+ T9o 98s
K2o is 0.05 + ev vs that range.
Appreciate it
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $200(BB) Replayer
SB ($1,009)
Hero ($4,876)
BTN ($3,115)
Dealt to Hero 2♥ K♦
fold, SB raises to $1,009 (AI), Hero calls $809
FLOP ($2,018) 3♣ 6♥ 5♥
TURN ($2,018) 3♣ 6♥ 5♥ A♥
RIVER ($2,018) 3♣ 6♥ 5♥ A♥ 8♠
Spoiler
SB shows 8♥ Q♦ (Pre 43%, Flop 27.5%, Turn 29.5%)Hero shows 2♥ K♦ (Pre 57%, Flop 72.5%, Turn 70.5%)SB wins $2,018