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PLO10 - QQTTds oop 3way - theoretical situation

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ProActiveK
Joined: 28.05.2013

Pre: really good hand, imo a must 3bet

If CO shoves, we should call, right ? We need about 37% while vs AAxx/KKxx we have 40% and we crush broadways

Flop: My plan here is to b/f if MP joins the action, and call off if CO shoves as we are good vs his range here ( need 21%)

ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
board: K♦8♥2♣
QsQhTsTh 22.99% (137,857 wins, 175 ties)
Kxxx,88xx,22xx,KKxx,K8xx,K2xx,28xx 77.01% (461,968 wins, 175 ties)

Turn:

If CO folded and MP called our cbet, I would probably bet again for about 40bb (pot is 51) - does this make sense?

MP shouldnt really continue with Kxxx as he has one shortstacked player behind him, so his range would more likely be towards 2p/sets (limp pre)
- can we even fold out this by barelling?

What about the river in the same example?

PokerStars - $0.10 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 163.5 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 13.85, 3Bet Preflop: 11.76, Hands: 65)
SB: 63 BB (VPIP: 17.24, PFR: 17.24, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 29)
Hero (BB): 128.8 BB
UTG: 75.6 BB (VPIP: 50.35, PFR: 13.99, 3Bet Preflop: 5.19, Hands: 147)
MP: 178.3 BB
CO: 39.6 BB (VPIP: 63.64, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 22)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T♣ Q♣ T♥ Q♥

fold, MP calls 1 BB, CO raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 7.5 BB, MP calls 6.5 BB, CO calls 5.5 BB

Flop: (23 BB, 3 players) K♦ 2♣ 8♠
Hero bets 14 BB, fold, CO raises to 32.1 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 18.1 BB

Turn: (87.2 BB, 2 players) 9♥

River: (87.2 BB, 2 players) 5♠


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3 replies
Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Hi,

yeah pre is a stackoff here. Postflop looks good too.

Turn i would probably give up i guess. When you get called on this board, someone has something decent, at least Kxxx. And often Kxxx is calling again, picking up 2 pair, oesd or even just a gutty ott. MP isn't folding Kxxx here ever otf

Regards,

Skod


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ProActiveK
Joined: 28.05.2013

How come that MP should continue with Kxxx here with one shortstacker behind him? I mean, if we are in MP situation, with Kxxx, what would be the reasoning to call?


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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Originally posted by ProActiveK
How come that MP should continue with Kxxx here with one shortstacker behind him? I mean, if we are in MP situation, with Kxxx, what would be the reasoning to call?

Yes, cause if he has Kxxx with 3 live sidecards he always has the equity to go broke 3way.

Regards,

Skod


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