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nl200 sizing problem with set

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ciachooooo
Joined: 02.01.2010

CO:
he is quite good reg, playing 25/22 with 11% 3bet (total)

agressive postflop, afq 51/48/31
wtsd 27, wwsf 53

CO open 26%
cb flop 72%, cb 3way 54%

BU is fish, 38/17 with 3% 3bet, reasonably aggro postflop, flop fold vs cb 46%, wtsd 29, wwsf 44
flop bet vs missed cb 55, turn bet vs missed cb 91 (!)

1) I don't think I recognize CO has much lower cb 3way, given that info do you prefer leading?
2) as played, what is your sizing on both flop and turn? I want to make flop x/r small to make sure BU is not folding, but this leaves me with problematic turn sizing if BU calls. well, it's also problematic if Co calls... what to do on turn? if they both calls, BU has psb, but I have ~145%psb against reg... I don't like shoving turn, but 3 streets betting doesn't make sense. x/r flop bigger, shove turn?

on turn with this sizing pot is 113, I have 162, CO covers me, BU has 116

$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG Player5 ($152.13) 76bb
UTG+1 Player6 ($66.22) 33bb
CO Player1 ($259.10) 130bb
BTN Player2 ($154.32) 77bb
SB ciachooooo ($200) 100bb
BB Player4 ($64.71) 32bb

Pre-Flop: ($3, 6 players) ciachooooo is SB 8♦ 8♥
2 folds, Player1 raises to $6, Player2 calls $6, ciachooooo calls $5, 1 fold

Flop: 4♣ 8♠ J♦ ($20, 3 players)
ciachooooo checks, Player1 bets $12, Player2 calls $12, ciachooooo raises to $32, Player1 calls $20, Player2 calls $20

Turn: 10:club: ($116, 3 players)
ciachooooo ($162)?


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Ciachoooo,

These sizing problems not always possible to solve seeing as we can never guarantee if we get one or two callers.

I don't think this flop texture is overly dangerous. Strongest draw is 9T, the rest are gutshots. If we were to x/r smaller it's possible to bet turn and shove river with reasonable sizings.

Alternatively we can just raise flop larger and shove the turn. The advantage of this line is our opponents get an extra card, the disadvantage is we may lose them on the flop.


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