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AKs

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legand73
Joined: 01.06.2010

IPoker, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BB: $10.87 (54.4 bb)
Hero (UTG): $20 (100 bb)
MP: $9.35 (46.7 bb)
CO: $20.90 (104.5 bb)
BTN: $35.16 (175.8 bb)
SB: $19.57 (97.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with K A
Hero raises to $0.60, 3 folds, SB raises to $2.20, BB folds, Hero calls $1.60

Flop: ($4.60) 8 5 7 (2 players)
SB bets $3.22, Hero calls $3.22

Turn: ($11.04) 4 (2 players)
SB bets $11.04, Hero raises to $14.58 and is all-in, SB calls $3.11 and is all-in

River: ($39.34) 5 (2 players, 2 are all-in)

unknown villain. on the turn i figure i'm up against an over pair and think that i've got a ton of outs, a spade obv, A, K and even a 6 for a split so decided to call his shove


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5 replies

Hi legand73

Preflop: looks fine to keep bluffs in

Postflop: You are essentially risking 14.58 to win 39.34 so you get 37% pot odds.

So 6 outs + 9 outs, 15 outs so up to 30%, then let's say a couple of %s for the 6 and that's it... Thus you actually need him to shove worse for you to be able to call that.

Can you see worse shove?


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legand73
Joined: 01.06.2010

well i guess if i'm optimistic he could shove this 99+,AdKd,AdQd,AdJd,AdTd in which case i get 37% equity but i see your point. even on a fairly optimistic range i'm only going to be breaking even


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And that's break even before the rake.

Once you factor that in you are -EV.


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isssean
Joined: 09.12.2010

Wouldn`t it be better to try to go broke on the flop? Or if we call the flop, folding the turn, but i guess this is what you said also, can`t go broke on the turn so folding is better i guess.


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Originally posted by isssean
Wouldn`t it be better to try to go broke on the flop? Or if we call the flop, folding the turn, but i guess this is what you said also, can`t go broke on the turn so folding is better i guess.

What can we achieve with raising flop that we can't by calling flop? You could go for a flip there vs JJ/QQ type hands so yeh that could be an option.

But nothing better folds really.


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