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NL100 AA river decision

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cleoclaudiu
Joined: 13.04.2010

$0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

UTG+1: $100 (100 bb)
UTG+2: $109.48 (109.5 bb)
MP1: $129.85 (129.9 bb)
Hero (MP2): $100 (100 bb)
MP3: $79.96 (80 bb)
CO: $65.38 (65.4 bb)
BTN: $256.40 (256.4 bb)
SB: $100 (100 bb)
BB: $108.56 (108.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A A
3 folds, Hero raises to $3, 2 folds, BTN calls $3, 2 folds

Flop: ($7.50) T 8 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $5.62, BTN calls $5.62

Turn: ($18.74) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $15.05, BTN calls $15.05

River: ($48.84) K (2 players)

Villain is 54/24, 6.2 3bet, and AFreq: 21/21/49 over 733 hands

How would you play the river?


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3 replies
Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Hey,

As played flop and turn, i would simply go ahead and value bet anything between 32-36. When so many draws miss, i think this type of a player is calling with any Tx, Kcxc and maybe even worse hands.


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cleoclaudiu Topic starter
cleoclaudiu
Joined: 13.04.2010

Originally posted by Shevtshenko
Hey,

As played flop and turn, i would simply go ahead and value bet anything between 32-36. When so many draws miss, i think this type of a player is calling with any Tx, Kcxc and maybe even worse hands.

Do you think he will call such a big bet with Tx or worse? I ended up betting 10$ to induce him to call me lite or to bluff with missed draws.


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Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Given how many draws bricked, i'd be shocked to find out this type of a player is considering folding a Tx on river :) I wouldn't be too surprised to see him calling with 44.


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