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Constructing turn ranges when facing aggression on the flop

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Poker Stars $0.50/$1.00 Limit Hold'em - 5 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

Pre Flop: (1.5 SB) Hero is CO with whatever his rasing range is from the CO (laggy tho)
1 fold, Hero raises, 2 folds, BB calls

Flop: (4.5 SB) K :heart: 7 :diamond: 4 :club: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB raises, Hero calls

Turn: (4.25 BB) 2 :diamond: (2 players)
BB bets, Hero...

when can we valueraise here? I've been asking myself this question lately, and I think we can talk about a value raise when we have between 50 and 66% equity. So, I give my opponent this range on the flop for his x/r (it's well balanced I believe, one-street wise): :

value: K2s+, K8o+, A7, Q7 [top pair+, middle pair with good kicker] (73 combos)

bluff: 8d6d, 8h6h, 8c6c, 8d5d, 8h5h, 8c5c, 6d5d, 6h5h, 6c5c [gutshots/straight draws with BDFD] (9 combos)

Agains this range, I have, 50-66% equity with this range:

50% equity: Sets, two pair, AA and K8+ (112 combos)
66% equity: Sets, two pair, AA and KJ+ (78 combos)

Does this make anysense?

Afterthought:
So I'd need between 1/(P+3) and 1/(P+5), 11-14% rebluffing, which would be between 9 to 15 combos.


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