Hi there,
I'm a MTTSNG player trying to add 9 man (hyper) STT to my regular schedule as MTTSNG do not run in the morning. First thing I did was practicing many ICM situations as this is very different from MTTSNG where chipEV is the main model for the most part.
It doesn't work out. Mainly on lower stakes, as my EV roi gets higher when stakes increase. So i must have an Obvious flaw in my game trying to use equilibrium vs fish. I know it must be horrible...
So the question comes down to this; Where do fish differ te most from equilibrium?
In MTTSNG they mostly call too tight in my assumption. But the same fish ppb calls the same range in STT which will mostly be too wide, due to the bubble Factor?
This might explain why my EV roi is higher at the $30's than at the 7's. I seem to do better vs regs than fish.
f.e. lets take a common situation, like even stacks on the bubble.
Everyone has 10 bb (10-10-10-10)
so the equilibrium for the BTN is to be shoving:
43.5%, 22+ Ax+ K2s+ K6o+ Q2s+ Q9o+ J4s+ J9o+ T7s+ T9o 97s+ 87s 76s 65s 54s
sb calls: 3.8%, TT+ AQs+ AKo
bb calls: 7.7%, 88+ ATs+ ATo+
I cannot imagine that a random knows this kind of stuff, and will be calling lighter, right?
So if we add a couple of hands more like 66-88, ATs, our own shoving range suddenly has to be like 7%: 88+ ATs+ AJo+ I mean, mannn that's a huge difference.... A hand like K5o which is slightly +EV in equilibrium is suddenly a -1.07 shove.
This might look like beginner stuff to you guys, but i'm so used to MTTSNG ranges that this stuff kinda surprised me. How freaking huge the impact of non-equilibrium plays from opponents have on your own ranges in STT.
Soo maybe the some more experienced players at STT here could give me some insights at the geneal assumptions of recreational players at STT.
1. Do they (in general) call too wide in high bubble factor situations? (and so do we have to considerably decrease our shoving range?)
2. Do they (in general) shove too tight in high bubble factor situations? (and do we have to tighten up our calling range considerably)
3. Is it in general a good adjustment to shove way tighter than the nash eqiulibrium in a game full of recreational players in STT (to avoid f***ing up both of our equity)?