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Nl25 Aj 3bet

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tukioppilas62
Joined: 01.01.2011

Villain is 23/20 Af.4.5 fold to cbet 75% / 8times. (4bet 1time/8). 250 hands sample he doesn't seem to be calling much so we should probably 3bet him polarized and AJ would fit better our calling range. He folds very little against c-bets (calls a lot) so my c-bet was like for value. Not sure if it's okay here as mentioned about expecting him to not call wide.

Turn he doesn't imo rep much with his sizing. River is a very bad bluffcard for him too, but he could have here slowplayed AA,KK,QQ or something like that so bluffcatching river was spewy I think. As well as turn too.

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $48.37 (193.5 bb)
BB: $20.15 (80.6 bb)
CO: $41.43 (165.7 bb)
BTN: $56 (224 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J A
CO folds, BTN raises to $0.50, Hero raises to $2, BB folds, BTN calls $1.50

Flop: ($4.25) 4 9 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $2, BTN calls $2

Turn: ($8.25) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $6, Hero calls $6

River: ($20.25) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $13.75, Hero calls $13.75

Results:

Spoiler

$47.75 pot ($0.75 rake)
Final Board: 4 9 9 2 4
Hero mucked J A and lost (-$23.75 net)
BTN showed 8 9 and won $47 ($23.25 net)


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Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Hi,

Pre is okay. Flatting would also be fine. Would like to know his f23b before deciding which is better. Flop is already close between betting and checking, don't hate either. When he bets the turn this big, it seems like he's probably pretty polarized to JJ/TT+ and air, so calling is reasonable. River is a pretty good card to call again, there are definitely some people who wouldn't even bet JJ for value on the river anymore, so calling should be fine. I guess the part that he folds so much to cbets should make this call down less good though. Maybe that even sways this into a fold on the turn.

To conclude: the thinner you think he's capable of betting for value here, the more likely i'm to just c/f turn. So if you think he can bet A-high+ for value on river, then c/folding seems a lot better already on the turn.


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