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nl5 FR set v nit river bet

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LoKKK
Joined: 18.10.2009

PokerStars - $0.05 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 160 BB (VPIP: 34.06, PFR: 21.74, 3Bet Preflop: 3.77, Hands: 139)
BTN: 124.6 BB (VPIP: 10.67, PFR: 6.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 75)
SB: 73.8 BB (VPIP: 71.43, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
BB: 91.4 BB (VPIP: 11.43, PFR: 2.86, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 35)
UTG: 97.4 BB (VPIP: 13.97, PFR: 8.38, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 179)
Hero (UTG+1): 102.6 BB
MP: 106.6 BB (VPIP: 27.78, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J♠ J♦

fold, Hero raises to 2.2 BB, fold, fold, BTN calls 2.2 BB, SB calls 1.8 BB, fold

Flop: (7.6 BB, 3 players) J♣ 2♣ Q♦
SB checks, Hero bets 6 BB, BTN calls 6 BB, fold

Turn: (19.6 BB, 2 players) 7♦
Hero bets 12 BB, BTN calls 12 BB

River: (43.6 BB, 2 players) 6♦
Hero bets 17 BB, fold

Spoiler

Hero wins 41.8 BB

How much should i bet river ? villain was quite nitty.!

probably only get value of maybe QA.

is it better to check/call hoping that villain bets/bluffs


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2 replies

well played, never check that river, sometimes he may even check back AQ. You can get value from AQ KQ and maybe QJ.


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CPallo
Joined: 12.04.2012

Hi LoKKK,

Pre-flop: I'd start raising bigger from UTG as our range will be tighter there and we want to play bigger pots.

Post-flop I think you played this quite well here, although you should be betting bigger on turn and river. On turn I could bet here 14bb and on river I'd bet something like 1/2-2/3 of pot as his calling range stays pretty much the same.

About your thought process.. Even if he is a nitty player you can still get value from QK/AQ, the remaining combo of JQ. If he really is a nit he won't stabb you on river with busted draws, thus we should generally be mostly check/folding river if we were to check..


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