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[Nl5] 99

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anoxas
Joined: 17.01.2008

I have Pushed on turn hoping he has overpair or 2 pair is that very bad move? didnt bet him on K9 couse I had pair of 99, AK sure :)

PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 158.2 BB (VPIP: 17.65, PFR: 11.76, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)
SB: 104.2 BB (VPIP: 16.36, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 3.85, Hands: 57)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 15.63, PFR: 9.38, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 67)
Hero (UTG): 154 BB
MP: 113.4 BB (VPIP: 18.18, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
CO: 119.4 BB (VPIP: 19.57, PFR: 13.04, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 48)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 9♠ 9♣

Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, BTN raises to 9 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 6 BB

Flop: (19.4 BB, 2 players) Q♦ T♥ 8♦
Hero checks, BTN bets 11 BB, Hero calls 11 BB

Turn: (41.4 BB, 2 players) J♣
Hero checks, BTN bets 30 BB, Hero raises to 96 BB, BTN raises to 138.2 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 38 BB and is all-in

River: (309.4 BB, 2 players) Q♠

Hero shows 9♠ 9♣ (Straight, Queen High) (Pre 55%, Flop 60%, Turn 0%)
BTN shows A♠ K♣ (Straight, Ace High) (Pre 45%, Flop 40%, Turn 100%)
BTN wins 296.6 BB


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2 replies
dooleslovs
Joined: 17.02.2011

Pre call is OK 150BB deep, he's NIT, he will pay u off if u hit set. OTF, calling with gutshot is BAD, he might have some bluffs in his 3beting range but nor 9 nor J usally is good out for you, if you hit 9, will not get action from better hands, if you git J as u did, you are dominated by 16 combos of his AK, so calling OTF vs such strong range will be -EV. And once u hit streigt OTT do not raise:
Board: Q♦8♦T♥ J♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    46.62%  45.70%   0.92% { 9s9c }
MP3    53.38%  52.46%   0.92% { TT+, AKs, AKo }

as you can see you are not favorite vs his calling range, and there is not so many two pair combos in his range, Maybee some QJs or JTs, sample is not big, but he seems very passive so far. So best line IMO vould be to fold OTF, becouse where is not so many good things what can happen OTT and OTR.


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TortoiseAndHare
Joined: 24.01.2014

Great analysis dooleslovs. Learned a lot from it.

As a general rule I fold pocket pairs when not hitting the flop. Gutshot has poor 11:1 Odds flop-turn. Your pot odds are only 1:4 so I would fold here fold.

When checking the flop I would fold on turn on BTN 30BB bet. This Cbet indicates strong hand.


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