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NL10 AQs FD + OC

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2 Users
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Pacific, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

CO: $11.56 (115.6 bb)
BTN: $7.69 (76.9 bb)
SB: $10.90 (109 bb)
BB: $2 (20 bb)
UTG+1: $11.55 (115.5 bb)
Hero (UTG+2): $10 (100 bb)
MP1: $35.62 (356.2 bb)
MP2: $4.96 (49.6 bb)
MP3: $10 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with A Q
UTG+1 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, 5 folds, SB calls $0.35, BB folds

Flop: ($0.90) 6 5 6 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.57, SB raises to $1.60, Hero calls $1.03

Turn: ($4.10) 7 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($4.10) 5 (2 players)
SB bets $2.15, Hero folds

Villain tight 16/9 in 2.6k hands.
His raise cbet on flop from OOp is 16% (25) .
When he checks turn what range does he have ?


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1 reply

Hi,

I think he has there mostly air or set. Sometimes he is calling with 76s, 87s type hands but since you opened 4x and he is on SB I think he should mostly fold his suited connectors.

Since AQ does not have that much showdown value and since he can fold worse hands to your turn bet I think b/f turn would my option. He may easily fold his medium pp-s and you fold out air that always have some equity. Also you miss most of the times if you check back and likely can´t call blank rivers his river bet.

So I would rather turn my hand into semibluff and try to get him to fold some better hands than check back and expecting to loose if river mostly goes check/check.

best regards,


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