Villain is unknown
OTF: Think I can still have the best hand a lot since there is only one overcard out and the board is somewhat dry, especially since I would still expect villain to be c-bet bluffing this board a decent amount or just giving up on lots of turns. Even if I'm not ahead I can choose to turn my hand into a bluff I think. I didn't see any point in raising and turning my hand into a bluff.
Plan was to just float and mainly give up OTT if he barrels.
OTT: when villain checks I think his range will be mostly draws and hands less than TP (so I think I can pretty much exclude TP+ from his range). So I think I have two options:
check and re-evaluate river and hope to get a cheap showdown and maybe place a thin value bet on safe rivers vs some weaker pairs, of which I don't think there will be that many in hindsight.
bet the turn for value/protection vs draws and hands that have a decent amount of equity vs my hand that I don't want to give out free cards to (overcards and such). I think sometimes I might get Tx to fold as well.
what about my turn bet sizing here? Should I be betting about 1/2 to get calls from a weaker range?
as played...
when I got called I felt like villain either has a missed draw and I win or some Tx and is in x/c mode and will probably not be folding to another bet. All in all I thought that I had enough showdown value vs his range which would be more heavily weighted towards missed and unpaired draws.
PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: $0.96 (VPIP: 26.67, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 16)
SB: $4.40
BB: $17.99 (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
UTG: $2.45 (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 8.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 25)
MP: $2.00 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
Hero (CO): $2.03
SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has 9♠ 9♥
fold, MP raises to $0.06, Hero calls $0.06, fold, fold, fold
Flop: ($0.15, 2 players) 4♠ Q♣ 2♥
MP bets $0.08, Hero calls $0.08
Turn: ($0.31, 2 players) T♦
MP checks, Hero bets $0.20, MP calls $0.20
River: ($0.71, 2 players) 6♥
MP checks, Hero checks
Spoiler
MP shows 7♥ 7♣ (One Pair, Sevens) (Pre 18%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)
Hero shows 9♠ 9♥ (One Pair, Nines) (Pre 82%, Flop 92%, Turn 95%)
Hero wins $0.69
I don't expect villain to bluff the river or bet worse so I fold to river donkbets unless they are very small and I am calling for note taking purposes
can't really see villain x/calling many worse hands than ours OTR