nl2 ATs, overplaying FD?

Hi SneakyhanD,

CO pre-flop range includes something like: 22-jj, AJ+, KJ+, QJ, JTs, A9s-A5s, T9-65. Hero has about 66% equity.

CO flop is tighter. Hero equity about 50%

Board: 6♦8♥3♥ 6♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    51.32%  47.98%   3.34% { AhTh }
CO     48.68%  45.34%   3.34% { JJ-99, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, J9s+, T8s+, 97s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, AQo+ }

Would bet 3/4 pot on the flop sinds the board is drawy. This bet size could cause stronger hands to fold (e.g. AJ+ 77-TT). It is also a value bet in case you hit the flush draw.

Hero has flush draw and high card on the turn. Why not check/fold or check/raise on the turn and see what CO does? Are you betting here for value or to cause stronger hands to fold? Reason for betting determines your betsize.

Hope this helps

Hero might have even less equity as TortoiseAndHare haven't chose the hands that raise to only hearts ♦

I think I could even make a hero-fold here. I can't see him bluffing here often enough and it might be that we are drawing dead. It's close though, I could try to run calculations during this weekend!