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nl100 x/r with gutshot

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ciachooooo
Joined: 02.01.2010

have only 800 hands on him

his flop cb is 77, turn cb 50%

56% bu open
40/27 with 15% 3bet

a) I don't x/r A high boards a lot, but this seems to be good opponent to do it with gutshot, as his flop cb is so high, right?
b) turn action/sizing?

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Graj rękę

$0.5/$1 No-Limit Hold'em (3 handed)

Known players:
[tg]SB$163.90:///////;BB (Hero)$104.70:///////;BU$106.85:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is BB with 8:s, 9:h.
BU raises to $2.00, SB folds, Hero calls $1.00.

Flop: ($4.5) 7:c, 5:d, A:d (2 players)
Hero checks, BU bets $2.85, Hero raises to $10.34, BU calls $7.49.

Turn: ($25.18) J:h (2 players)
Hero ??


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3 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Does he bet/fold a lot? He could very easily be the type to bet-call with 7X/5X/KK/QQ. I think the C/R is certainly fine but C/C is also a reasonable option.

After having Turned more equity this is a clear bet. I would just pot it to size stacks up for a river shove.


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ciachooooo
Joined: 02.01.2010

hi
sample is imo too small to draw conclusions of how often he b/c

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Graj rękę

$0.5/$1 No-Limit Hold'em (3 handed)

Known players:
[tg]SB$163.90:///////;BB (Hero)$104.70:///////;BU$106.85:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is BB with 8:s, 9:h.
BU raises to $2.00, SB folds, Hero calls $1.00.

Flop: ($4.5) 7:c, 5:d, A:d (2 players)
Hero checks, BU bets $2.85, Hero raises to $10.34, BU calls $7.49.

Turn: ($25.18) J:h (2 players)
Hero bets $17.45, BU calls $17.45.

River: ($60.08) A:s (2 players)
Hero ????

what do you think now? this is worst hand I can have here... but still no need to be balanced imo. I would still prefer betting here.

if he has an ace he ain't folding, so I prefer betting small, to make him fold worse than Ax

25 is fine or too small?


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

If we knew this guy is ultra passive, then the best line is to bet like 15-20$ here to fold out his draws, and get snapped by all pairs.

I would rather bluff 89 here than X:dX:d because having any diamond would greatly reduce the number of draw combos in his range which would fold to a river bet, thus reducing your river fold equity.

Honestly I think giving up on the River Ace is probably what I Would do most of the time since I think he is virtually never folding any made hand now (I guess he might sometimes fold KK and 7X but thats not worth having to put in a large bet)

Thus I think a large bet is out of the question and it's between check-fold and bet small.

Honestly I have no idea what the better line is. His PF stats seem to be loose/aggro so you may get raised if you block-bet. SO maybe giving up is better.


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