bu is reg, 27/22 with 10.5% 3bet
have seen him doing stupid stuff but he still is 5bb/100 winner
bu open 53%, fold vs 3b 58%, 4b range 5%, fold vs 5b 32%
stats in 3b pots:
- fold vs cb 42/30/54
- raise cb 13/12/29
- bet IP 44/42/33
1) what are your thoughts about flop? how would you start playing this hand? x/c x/r and betting seems all option worth considering (but obv don't think they are equally good)
2) as played what do you think his value raising range looks like? AJ/JT/QQ makes sense? just QQ as I expect him to stackoff premium pre almost all the time. maybe 1 or 2 combos of TT (i don't like raising it, but dunno what he thinks)?
if you agree to this range, lets check equity:
Stół: 2♣J♠T♦
Equity Wygrana Podział
MP2 24.93% 24.49% 0.44% { AcQh }
MP3 75.07% 74.63% 0.44% { QQ, ThTs, AJs, JTs, AJo, JTo }
this range is 22 combos
pot size after his raise is 47 (rake), I have to risk 84, after AI pot would be 200, equity if called is 25%
to make it be shove he needs to fold 42% of time, so this looks like profitable bet/shove to me, am I right?
EV= 47*(1-58%)-58%*(84-25%*200)=0,02
58% is calling % (max calling % that makes it be shove)
Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:
$0.5/$1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Known players:
[tg]SB$26.00:///////;BB (Hero)$101.50:///////;MP2$35.39:///////;MP3$54.50:///////;CO$101.38:///////;BU$266.60:///////;[/tg]
Preflop: Hero is BB with A:c, Q:h.
3 folds, BU raises to $2.00, SB folds, Hero raises to $8.00, BU calls $6.00.
Flop: ($16.5) 2:c, J:s, T:d (2 players)
Hero bets $9.84, BU raises to $23.00, Hero raises to $93.50
