Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

NL50 Standard B/f OTR?

9 Posts
4 Users
0 Reactions
493 Views
Yozan
Joined: 01.01.2010

V is 18k hands(-11 bb's) 23/20/6 Af3.2 WTSd 29 WWSf 47
RFI 14 cbet 79/41/57
Turn fold cbet vs raise 37

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

CO: $50 (100 bb)
BTN: $20 (40 bb)
SB: $25.65 (51.3 bb)
Hero (BB): $75.92 (151.8 bb)
UTG: $53.43 (106.9 bb)
MP: $56.63 (113.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 8 8
UTG raises to $1.50, 4 folds, Hero calls $1

Flop: ($3.25) K 3 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $2, Hero calls $2

Turn: ($7.25) A (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $3.50, Hero raises to $10, UTG calls $6.50

River: ($27.25) J (2 players)
Hero bets $17, UTG raises to $39.93 and is all-in, Hero calls $22.93

TY!


Reply
Quote
8 replies
clawindsouza
Joined: 08.12.2009

Am I the villain here? :f_biggrin:


Reply
Quote
Yozan
Joined: 01.01.2010

Originally posted by clawindsouza
Am I the villain here? :f_biggrin:

hahaha,good one...
What will u do in Hero's shoes ???


Reply
Quote
clawindsouza
Joined: 08.12.2009

I don't think villain raises worse here.

Your hand is kinda face up and so there's no way villain would shove a worse hand IMO.


Reply
Quote

Imo no b/f here.

Vs KK+, 33 range we are 33%-66% so we have easily odds to go broke against him if he only has sets here. Only hands that beat us are basically AA and KK. I don't see him bet calling the turn with QT/JJ, but AK yeah, AJ yeah. So wp imo.


Reply
Quote
clawindsouza
Joined: 08.12.2009

Originally posted by iiikrrr
Imo no b/f here.

Vs KK+, 33 range we are 33%-66% so we have easily odds to go broke against him if he only has sets here. Only hands that beat us are basically AA and KK. I don't see him bet calling the turn with QT/JJ, but AK yeah, AJ yeah. So wp imo.

I don't think 33 would ever raise river. Also with a 14%rfi I doubt 33 would be in his range.


Reply
Quote

Originally posted by clawindsouza

Originally posted by iiikrrr
Imo no b/f here.

Vs KK+, 33 range we are 33%-66% so we have easily odds to go broke against him if he only has sets here. Only hands that beat us are basically AA and KK. I don't see him bet calling the turn with QT/JJ, but AK yeah, AJ yeah. So wp imo.

I don't think 33 would ever raise river. Also with a 14%rfi I doubt 33 would be in his range.

I believe that his open range is like 22+,A7s+,KTs+,QJs,JTs,T9s,98s,ATo+,KQo. I doubt that he is raising for example QJo necessarily, but the small pairs which are much easier to play postflop. And I do believe that he is raising at least some of the time with 33 OTR, according to stats given he is a bad reg and I don't think that he is going to think the river spot range wise. Don't believe that our hand is so obvious to him, though have to agree that raising river with 33 is kind a bad here, since only getting called basically by 88 here. If he was a decent reg I would fold it but against a bad reg I'd cry and call it. :f_biggrin:

But yeah b/f might be right thing to do, but I'm a calling station. :f_cool:


Reply
Quote

I see you guys are arguing a bet/fold here but why not just shove the river?

Would he really fold 2p there if he calls? And we are polarizing our bet a lot.

I do agree that once we bet it's hard to see worse raise but we only need him to overplay AJ/AK a few times for us to break even.


Reply
Quote
Yozan
Joined: 01.01.2010

Originally posted by clawindsouza
I don't think villain raises worse here.

Your hand is kinda face up and so there's no way villain would shove a worse hand IMO.

What about a reg that lose 11bb/100 on 17k hands???
Can he shove worse for value???

I don't know which are ure results,but this is what my HEM says,and I trust "this guy" a lot :f_p:
Altough 17k hands aren't a lot,so probably overated this info.

Also with a 14%rfi I doubt 33 would be in his range.

not so sure about it,depends,I would'nt discount small pp'airs

GL!

I think b/f is the best once I don't choose to overbet as Bogdan says...

BTW,not the guy to make hero folds!!!
GL!

(you can send me your skype adress,if u are interested in PM,I have accepted ure request)


Reply
Quote