I've been reading hand evaluations for a while but this is the first time I've posted one myself. In the game I was sure this was the right move but after thinking about it a bit more and trying it in equilab I'm less confident in it.
This was a 6 man game, so we were on the bubble.
The villan's stats at the time were 51/19 with a 3bet of 22.2, and it felt like he'd loosened up a lot when we'd got to the bubble, so I thought he'd be 3betting me fairly wide here
My thinking was that he'd have to fold most of his 3bet range and I had decent equity against a lot of hands he'd continue with
After the game ended I put the hand into equilab against a range of 22%, and it told me that I had about 45% equity
Am I right in thinking that once I consider fold equity this makes it worth playing, or did I make a small mistake here?
IPoker, $0.17 Buy-in (50/100 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 3 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
Hero (BTN): 2,030 (20.3 bb)
SB: 3,562 (35.6 bb)
BB: 3,408 (34.1 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with K
T![]()
Hero raises to 250, SB raises to 1,000, BB folds, Hero raises to 2,030 and is all-in, SB calls 1,030
Spoiler
Flop: (4,160) 8
A
Q
(2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: (4,160) A
(2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (4,160) J
(2 players, 1 is all-in)
Results:
4,160 pot
Final Board: 8
A
Q
A
J
Hero mucked K
T
and won 4,160 (2,130 net)
SB showed K
K
and lost (-2,030 net)