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5NL AJs NFD

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ChangNoi77
Joined: 27.06.2012

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

UTG+2: $2.25 (45 bb)
MP1: $5 (100 bb)
Hero (MP2): $8.65 (173 bb)
MP3: $5.05 (101 bb)
CO: $8.41 (168.2 bb)
BTN: $5 (100 bb)
SB: $4.88 (97.6 bb)
BB: $1.97 (39.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with J A
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.15, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.15, SB folds, BB calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.47) 4 3 7 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.30, BTN folds, BB raises to $1.82, Hero calls $1.52

Turn: ($4.11) T (2 players)
River: ($4.11) 6 (2 players)

Results:

Spoiler

$4.11 pot ($0.17 rake)
Final Board: 4 3 7 T 6
Hero showed J A and lost (-$1.97 net)
BTN mucked and lost (-$0.15 net)
BB showed 5 6 and won $3.94 ($1.97 net)

In these spots with NFD and two overs what range of odds are we looking at before we're happy to call it off?

Against fish who can have worse draws it's easy, but I'm not sure about how to approach unknowns or TAG regs


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w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey ChangNoi77,

Preflop is fine.

BB is often strong partly because it's 3way. He can still have some weak overpairs in here due to his stack being short.

We need 36% equity. Let's assume range of worse overpairs sets + a few FD's.

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 4c3h7h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 47.10% 46.75% 0.34% { AhJh }
MP3 52.90% 52.56% 0.34% { TT-77, 44-33, QhJh, JhTh, Th9h, 9h8h }

Not the greatest situation but definitely would call flop here.


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