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[Closed] 5$ Sng - 56

5 Posts
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Horin
Joined: 07.06.2008

No Limit Holdem Tournament
Tallinn Buy-In: $5+$0.50
4 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
CO msjenjen (2520)
BTN MrAndorka (7030)
SB Horin2 (2090)
BB poulinoss (3360)

Blinds: 150/300

Pre-flop: (450, 4 players)
2 folds, Horin2 goes all-in 2090, poulinoss calls 1790

Flop: Q♣ Q♠ K♣ (4330, 2 players)

Turn: T♣ (4330, 2 players)

River: J♥ (4330, 2 players)

Final Pot: 4180
Horin2 shows: 5♦ 6♥
poulinoss shows: 6♦ A♠

poulinoss wins 4180 ( won +2090 )
Horin2 lost -2090

Am I allowed to steal with this hand since this guy have 75% fold to both SB and BB steals?


4 replies
Hlynkinn
Joined: 14.06.2008

Folding is the right thing to do... But if it's based on reads I don't know how to analyze the hand :)


viewer88
Joined: 19.04.2008

those fold to steal values aren't calculated in the "push/fold" fase only, so those values are verry biased.

I'd say borderline fold, push if you havent made a move on him last 2 orbits.


frzl
Joined: 25.04.2006

i assume it was a normal sng with top 3 players payed right ? i think it´s close

//edit: after another look i think it´s really, REALLY close tbh. i don´t know what they call here but he should be REALLY tight so you can push quite a lot of hands... 65o is kinda boarderline imo. personally i would push it but it´s no mistake to fold imo

//edit2: sngwiz says that your push is +$EV if he calls less than something like 27-28% of his hands... i can´t see the average player on this limits calling here with hands like K6s etc.. the more i think about it the more i think it´s an easy push ^^


chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

Originally posted by frzl
sngwiz says that your push is +$EV if he calls less than something like 27-28% of his hands... i can´t see the average player on this limits calling here with hands like K6s etc.. the more i think about it the more i think it´s an easy push ^^

I agree with this. Because opponents on this limit are generally far too tight when it comes to these looooose range spots at high blinds, I would push 65o knowing our fold equity is excellent.