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ZOOM 100 - river vs fish

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maritsula
Joined: 19.12.2011

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $113.61 (113.6 bb)
SB: $103.18 (103.2 bb)
BB: $146.85 (146.9 bb)
UTG: $104.07 (104.1 bb)
MP: $131 (131 bb)
Hero (CO): $100 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with K K
2 folds, Hero raises to $3, BTN calls $3, SB calls $2.50, BB folds

Flop: ($10) 3 Q 9 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $7, BTN folds, SB calls $7

Turn: ($24) 8 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $14, SB calls $14

River: ($52) 6 (2 players)
SB bets $18,

(1) Vs unknown we should call because of the good price we are getting and he may potentially value bet worse like AQ(?)

(2)However this guy is 28/3 over 2k hands and his postflop aggression frequency is 24% and river 38%. X/r is only 2%

(3)Any other stats I should be looking at ?

As for his river betting range I guess he has flushes, two pairs, and straights. Only thing I am beating is AQ or KQ but does he donk river with that?

(4)Also if he checks, my plan was to bet-fold 1/3

(5) And looking at the hand now, i should make it 18/19 OTT ?

(6) If the river is a blank,easy call ?


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serverm07
Joined: 08.08.2012

Hi,

I just can't see myself folding here, yea he will have us beat some % of the time but this is a clear call given the odds and the fact that he could block bet worse hands, we just dont have to be good that often.


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