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Middle pair Top kicker vs huge fish

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Shakaflaka
Joined: 18.01.2010

Hi!

The opponent is a 82/8 and has folded to cbets 30% so far (only 40 hands though).

My plan was to bet flop and turn and check call good rivers. What do you think?

I check fold this time becasue the 8 completes some draws and gives pairs to some ghots, straight draws, etc.

Thanks!

Party, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $68.39 (136.8 bb)
Hero (SB): $50 (100 bb)
BB: $51.22 (102.4 bb)
MP: $52.21 (104.4 bb)
UTG: $51.15 (102.3 bb)
CO: $15.75 (31.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 9 A
4 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BB calls $1

Flop: ($3) 9 Q 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $2.10, BB calls $2.10

Turn: ($7.20) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $3.50, BB calls $3.50

River: ($14.20) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $13.26, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$14.20 pot ($0.94 rake)
Final Board: 9 Q 6 2 8
Hero mucked 9 A and lost (-$7.10 net)
BB mucked and won $13.26 ($6.16 net)


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Shakaflaka,

Vs an 82/8 guys that doesn't fold much we probably just have pure value here on the flop and turn.

Check/call river only works well if he's actually aggressive and preflop stats don't suggest this so far. So it's probably a x/f on most rivers (assuming we check). However assuming he is a big calling station we may even just have a small river value-bet playing bet/fold. Perhaps he just don't fold any 9x or PP etc.


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