Hey there, building my bankroll back up and chame upon this hand, more so to check my thought process is correct.
Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
BTN: $1.81 (90.5 bb) (50/0 over 20 hands, likely fish.)
SB: $5.69 (284.5 bb)
BB: $4.92 (246 bb)
MP: $0.60 (30 bb)
Hero (CO): $2.23 (111.5 bb)
Preflop: Hero is CO with 8
J
MP calls $0.02, Hero raises to $0.10, BTN calls $0.10, 3 folds
J8o is a pretty standard for my in CO, even though it is bottom of my range.
Flop: ($0.25) 9
6 T (2 players)
Hero bets $0.14, BTN raises to $0.28, Hero calls $0.14
The flop hits the opponants range pretty well, I think a lot of PP and Suited connectors, as well as some suited A's, but given my equity I decided to cbet. I get Mini raised, so I would need to invest 0.14 into (.25 + .28 +.28) which means 17% equity, so I belive an open ended SR is 16%. I have the implied odds to call. I think he is doing this with a Pair+GS draw hands, 2p, set of sixes and Tx, I am unsure how many Tx hands he has here, AT KT QT JT, 8T. T7 seems a bit low, and his stats indicate he is passive.
Turn: ($0.81) 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $0.38, Hero calls $0.38
He bets less than half, and it makes me think he is kind of weak here. I contemplated raising, but I had enough equity + implied odds, I did count my 3 Js as an out here, but I am unsure tbh.
River: ($1.57) J
(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $1.05 and is all-in, Hero ??
Here I have improved and since I had counted my J as an out my plan was to call, but looking at it this villian is a Fish, and kind of passive. I really smelled 2p here, I had to win 29% of the time to be good. the J only really helped 78. I doubt he would bluff here with busted FD. Looking back I think it is an easy fold IMO, but my plan was to call if I hit my out. I guess I am not sure if he would over-value a T here. I think pure odds mean I have to call flop, but I am even doubting my river play.
Results:
Spoiler
$3.67 pot ($0.13 rake)
Final Board: 9 6 T 6 J
BTN showed A T and lost (-$1.81 net)
Hero showed 8 J and won $3.54 ($1.73 net)
