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NL200 KJo vs fish 3b pot

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bisovic
Joined: 04.08.2011

Villain 33/20/foldto3bet 11%/fold2cb 37%/476 hand

What is your general game plan against a fish on this texture? Cbet flop and give up most of the turns where I do not improve or the board texture does not change?

On this turn I have a GS but there are 2 FDs and I think he mostly have Qx and FDs here. Maybe he has some float like AsJx,AsTx,KsJx or 77,88 so I do not know what to do in this situation. Will he fold enough on this turn to make the bet profitable?

Poker Stars, $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $216.67 (108.3 bb)
Hero (SB): $813.14 (406.6 bb)
BB: $484.52 (242.3 bb)
UTG: $318.38 (159.2 bb)
MP: $742.04 (371 bb)
CO: $308.07 (154 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K J
2 folds, CO raises to $6, BTN folds, Hero raises to $20, BB folds, CO calls $14

Flop: ($42) 2 6 Q (2 players)
Hero bets $24.06, CO calls $24.06

Turn: ($90.12) 9 (2 players)
Hero ?


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3 replies
oblioo
Joined: 02.10.2012

Just c/f flop--you don't have much FE on the flop and you won't feel great about betting any turns except for kings. When you do bet turns in this spot you're going to have to barrel a lot of rivers but that's getting expensive especially considering he may just call down with A9 or whatever.

edit: when you plan to c/f flop that doesn't necessarily mean you lose the pot--sometimes villain will check back and you can bet turn. So checking flop is still +ev.


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bisovic
Joined: 04.08.2011

Hi! Thanks for replying!

I think he will fold hands like AT,AJ,78,89 etc. If I check he will bet the flop most of the time. On the flop his range is much wider than an average player so I think we have enough FE if we cbet.

What do you think?


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oblioo
Joined: 02.10.2012

Since he's only folding 37% to cbets, I do not agree that he's folding aj/at with a spade, or 98/87cc or ss, so he only folds two combos each of those. checking still seems better to me.


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