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Nl5 Kk

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pityumeszi
Joined: 04.05.2012

PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 30 BB (VPIP: 18.75, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 48)
BTN: 99.6 BB (VPIP: 16.05, PFR: 13.58, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 87)
SB: 81.8 BB (VPIP: 61.54, PFR: 23.08, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
Hero (BB): 282.6 BB
UTG: 76 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 40.00, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 11)
MP: 163.2 BB (VPIP: 16.44, PFR: 9.59, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 76)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has K♦ K♠

UTG raises to 2.8 BB, fold, fold, fold, SB calls 2.4 BB, Hero raises to 11 BB, UTG calls 8.2 BB, SB calls 8.2 BB

Flop: (33 BB, 3 players) 4♥ T♥ 5♠
SB checks, Hero bets 271.6 BB and is all-in, UTG calls 65 BB and is all-in, fold

Turn: (163 BB, 2 players) K♥

River: (163 BB, 2 players) 2♦

Hero shows K♦ K♠ (Three of a Kind, Kings) (Pre 68%, Flop 53%, Turn 23%)
UTG shows J♥ A♥ (Flush, Ace High) (Pre 32%, Flop 47%, Turn 77%)
UTG wins 156.2 BB

Hi,

my question here is not about how I played the hand but about the math.
To make it a little bit easier to understand let say was not multiway when I was allin. So UTG and I.

So the pot odds is 0.20% means I need this much equity to be this hand profitable in the long term.
After showdown I know that my equity on flop is 53 %.

So the EV is:

7.81 x 0.53 equals 4.1

So in the long term I make 4 dollars with this hand. Am I counting right? thanks


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1 reply

Hi pityumeszi

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: I'm not sure what exactly you re looking to do here.

First, you shouldn't shove the flop with no reads.

Second, you can't take your hand vs just one hand. You have to take your hand vs a range and see the equity you have.

And then, assuming that you always go all in (which you don't realistically) you can calculate your EV. If you don't always go all in your EV is made up of two pieces. When they fold and you collect the money and when one or both call.


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