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NL 20 set on flop

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wizo656
Joined: 28.12.2008

When MP1 called the river I thought that one of them must have the T.

IPoker, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BB: $29.14 (145.7 bb)
UTG+2: $22.18 (110.9 bb)
MP1: $7.42 (37.1 bb)
Hero (MP2): $20.18 (100.9 bb)
MP3: $28.18 (140.9 bb)
CO: $10.20 (51 bb)
BTN: $18.20 (91 bb)
SB: $21.70 (108.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 9 9
UTG+2 raises to $0.80, MP1 calls $0.80, Hero calls $0.80, 5 folds

Flop: ($2.70) 7 8 9 (3 players)
UTG+2 checks, MP1 checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($2.70) A (3 players)
UTG+2 bets $1.89, MP1 calls $1.89, Hero calls $1.89

River: ($8.37) J (3 players)
UTG+2 bets $5.85, MP1 calls $4.73 and is all-in, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$17.83 pot ($0.89 rake)
Final Board: 7 8 9 A J
UTG+2 showed 8 A and won $16.94 ($9.52 net)
MP1 showed K A and lost (-$7.42 net)
Hero mucked 9 9 and lost (-$2.69 net)


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2 replies
jules97
Joined: 10.06.2012

I'd bet flop. I don't think it's a good idea strengthening your x behind range here on a disgustingly drawy board.

The turn is the perfect card to raise.


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Hi,

I would always bet that board, since it is just too drawheavy. 2.2$ is fine to protect your hand and get value from worse. That would also let you to make pot committing bet on safe turn cards.
I would also raise turn for value. Very unlikely that UTG+2 has there aces and I don´t see any reason why MP1 should check flop/call turn straights Since there are two flushdraws you should also need to protect your hand.
I would raise there 7$ that would put MP1 all-in and let you to shove most rivers.
River: Since MP1 is so short I think he would call UTG+1 bet with any two pair and some Ax hands. UTG+2 might also sometimes valuebet worse hands or try some bluffs.
You need to be good 23,6% and there are going to be 2$ sidepot.
Likely these pot odds are too good for me to fold and I would expect most players to bet Tx on the flop.

best regards,


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