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nl200 is it possible to bluff here?

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ciachooooo
Joined: 02.01.2010

limper was huge whale, he didn't cold call 3b so far (sample 6)

BB is reg, new to me
25/19 with 6.5% 3bet
on passive side

he is 135bb deep

1) do you think he can call pre with A2s?
2) do you think he can call pre with QQ+?
3) bluffing seems suicidal but... to me it looks like his range is capped to Qx, and I can have A2, maybe K2 here and QQ+ -> do you think he always calls for split, or I can bluff him profitably?

on turn he has 240$ left

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Graj rękę

$1/$2 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

Known players:
[tg]SB$552.98:///////;BB$274.85:///////;MP3$429.10:///////;CO$206.98:///////;BU (Hero)$513.89:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is BU with K:c, T:d.
MP3 folds, CO calls $2.00, Hero raises to $12.00, SB folds, BB calls $10.00, CO calls $10.00.

Flop: ($37) 2:c, Q:c, 2:s (3 players)
BB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $24.00, BB calls $24.00, CO folds.

Turn: ($85) 2:h (2 players)
BB checks, Hero ???.


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serverm07
Joined: 08.08.2012

Hi,

I personally don't think he ever has A2 here, well very unlikely. I do think he can call pre with QQ+ some non-zero % of the time, it's probably extremely low. Would I bluff this, ughhh no I don't think it's a very good spot and we can find a better spot. Plus I rather try and realize my equity and bink a 3 outer. I just dont have enough faith in people folding here. And when they get to the river, they just shrug call because they expect people to try and fold them off a chop.

I like the idea of it but don't think I pull the trigger here and if I do maybe 2% of the time. You have to realize his range is going to be really strong for calling flop and that you gain a lot of EV because he is folding flop too much likely. Now if you tell me he is calling flop a lot, with 77-TT, then we can start talking about barreling.


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