QJo raise bluff river

Joined: 05.08.2007

06.04.2014, 18:08 0

partypoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 220.88 BB (VPIP: 24.87, PFR: 17.51, 3Bet Preflop: 7.20, Hands: 580)
SB: 150.02 BB (VPIP: 20.48, PFR: 15.71, 3Bet Preflop: 4.15, Hands: 518)
Hero (BB): 228.86 BB
UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 18.52, PFR: 14.81, 3Bet Preflop: 22.22, Hands: 29)
MP: 67.8 BB (VPIP: 28.74, PFR: 13.79, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 88)
CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 32.91, PFR: 5.06, 3Bet Preflop: 2.94, Hands: 80)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♣ J♠

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 2 BB, fold, Hero calls 1 BB

Flop: (4.5 BB, 2 players) T♥ 4♥ 5♣
Hero checks, BTN bets 3 BB, Hero raises to 8 BB, BTN calls 5 BB

Turn: (20.5 BB, 2 players) 9♣
Hero bets 14.6 BB, BTN calls 14.6 BB

River: (49.7 BB, 2 players) T♦
Hero checks, BTN bets 31 BB, Hero raises to 62 BB, fold

Spoiler

Hero wins 137.12 BB

He cbets 80% flop, 70% turn, so I think I cant float, but can raise wider, like
QJ, bdfd. gutshots and flushdraws I would flat.
And for value I can raise 6 sets combos, and I guess vs his range AT, so I am not repping much.

River I didnt want to bet because I dont repp much, and I probably dont have enough FE, but I 3bet him because I expect him to cb all overpairs, and Tx could bet smaller since my range looks cappt.
So I did it exploitative, because he has also many busted draws in range, and I need around 40% FE, also I block QT, TJ.
Would it make sense to c/r some hands on river so that I can balance my bluffs?

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mbml

Joined: 27.11.2008

Posts: 20,957

06.04.2014, 18:13 0

Hi

I would usually slowplay sets vs this guy on the Flop and raise the Turn. I usually wouldn't raise QJo but since he's so out of line I think it's ok.

You should be potting the Turn to maximize your fold equity. You want to make sure that he folds anything less than TX. This guy has plenty of second pairs based on his cbetting strategy (he cbets everything and is likely to call raises with a wide range too).

I think this check-raise is a little too spewy.

I don't think you can balance river with this raise size. If you wanted to check-raise a fullhouse, you would go for max value and raise it to 100BB at the very least

At the same time if you think he will always fold a busted draw then it isn't too bad of a play. He probably doesn't have nut flush draws here so that leaves him with stuff like KhXh or weaker and some 7c8c type of hands.

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GingerKid

Joined: 05.08.2007

Posts: 4,913

06.04.2014, 19:30 0

Originally posted by mbml
At the same time if you think he will always fold a busted draw then it isn't too bad of a play. He probably doesn't have nut flush draws here so that leaves him with stuff like KhXh or weaker and some 7c8c type of hands.

Why do you think he doesnt have nuts fd ? You think he would 3bet it, or raise on turn, or maybe he would cb river since he beats my draws?
I dont think he plays like a good regg and checks back A high hands, given his stats.
I think he has really many busted fd, probably all Khxh, Ahxh, Qhxh, Jhxh,
and it should be more than value range.

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