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nl100 leading 4way flop

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ciachooooo
Joined: 02.01.2010

OR is LAG

CO is 25/21 aggressive reg, 28 wtsd 49 wwsf ~breakeven

SB is fish (dunno if aggro or passive, v. small sample)

b/f, b/f, x/f, because bluffing here in CO shoes looks suicidal? or do you disagree at any street? "don't be a nit and shove river for value"? from?

OR cb vs 3+ is 39%

CO bet IP vs missed cb is 61%, and I have possition on fish, so maybe x/r?

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Graj rękę

$0.5/$1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

Known players:
[tg]MP3$110.12:///////;CO$156.81:///////;BU$87.26:///////;SB$182.92:///////;BB (Hero)$100.00:///////;MP2$100.00:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is BB with 3:c, 3:h.
MP2 raises to $3.00, MP3 folds, CO calls $3.00, BU folds, SB calls $2.50, Hero calls $2.00.

Flop: ($12) 8:d, 2:d, 3:d (4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $8.55, MP2 folds, CO calls $8.55, SB folds.

Turn: ($29.1) Q:h (2 players)
Hero bets $20.74, CO calls $20.74.

River: ($70.58) 7:c (2 players)
Hero ??


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

It seems that on river you are beaten most of the time :)
SB probably doesnt have offsuit QxXd in range, so that you can value bet vs that, also he is unlikely to call 89s, 78s even on turn, so it seems to me that he is left with 22, 88 and flushes. He probably raises lower flushes, hmm maybe also higher not to let you cb river.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

The strongest argument for leading flop is to gain value from the fish.

CO only has AdK and AdQ here imo. He probably folds KdQ on the flop.

I dont think u can checkfold here cos u still beat 22 and AdK (3-6 combos)

U lose to around 10-15 combos of sets and flushes. Unless u expect him to call very often with AA and KK and AdQ, betting 33 here will likely be too thin.


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