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NL25z, bet or check OTR?

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RainbowPonny
Joined: 19.10.2010

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($26.02)
Hero ($30.26)
UTG ($24.82)
UTG+1 ($38.52)
CO ($12.32)
BTN ($25)

Dealt to Hero 9♣ 9♥

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.75, fold, Hero calls $0.50

FLOP ($1.60) K♥ 5♣ 7♦

Hero checks, BTN bets $1, Hero calls $1

TURN ($3.60) K♥ 5♣ 7♦ 7♠

Hero checks, BTN checks

RIVER ($3.60) K♥ 5♣ 7♦ 7♠ 4♥

Hero checks, BTN bets $2, Hero calls $2

BTN shows 8♣ 6♥
(Pre 13%, Flop 23.8%, Turn 9.1%)

Hero shows 9♣ 9♥
(Pre 87%, Flop 76.2%, Turn 90.9%)

BTN wins $7.26

So pre i think its a pretty standard call, even though villain is unknown. I think ppl tend to cb theese dry boards to often so i think i cant really let go of 99 on a Kxxr board. When i check villain checks back so i think im ahead here most of the time. Usually i tend to make a small bet here to smth like 1.5 to get crying calls from 5x 4x 88. But this time i decided to check call to induce random bluffs from air.

Need comments on river play :)


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

PF: If opponent is opening 86o, it means that you are letting him get away with it. He is probably opening 70%+ of hands, which makes 99 a clear 3b for value (and you should have a really wide bluff range too)

F and T are standard

R: This is a spot where I'm more inclined to call at higher limits and fold at a limit like NL25. The bet check bet line is not used as a bluff too often. In terms of looking at your own range, you have some weak KX here, and you might also be looking to checkraise some 7X hands. Folding 99 is probably ok.


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