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tukioppilas62
Joined: 01.01.2011

Villain is 21/17 only 100hands af.5.0, is my play too loose here? His raise sizing is bigger than usually imo which made me think he mostly has a draw. And usually ppl tend to fold their weaker draws without history and here he has valuehands only K8, J8, KJ, 88. And he may bluffraise like whatever :spade: :spade: stuff. And we block A :heart:T :heart:, Q :heart:T :heart: from his stronger draws. Im not sure if it's a good thing or bad thing. But those are like "value hands" which he is going to insta ship.

On the other hand I think his sizing is strong and we should just be folding?

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (BTN): $51.82 (103.6 bb)
SB: $176.64 (353.3 bb)
BB: $62.97 (125.9 bb)
UTG: $50.75 (101.5 bb)
MP: $104.31 (208.6 bb)
CO: $85.50 (171 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with T 9
3 folds, Hero raises to $1, SB folds, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($2.25) K 8 J (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.50, BB raises to $7.75, Hero raises to $16.50, BB raises to $61.97 and is all-in, Hero calls $34.32 and is all-in

Turn: ($103.89) Q (2 players, 2 are all-in)
River: ($103.89) 7 (2 players, 2 are all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

$103.89 pot ($2.50 rake)
Final Board: K 8 J Q 7
Hero showed T 9 and lost (-$51.82 net)
BB showed 9 8 and won $101.39 ($49.57 net)


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6 replies
clawindsouza
Joined: 08.12.2009

When he raises so big, he's never ever folding to a re raise imo and we're not beating anything. Just let it go.


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Hi tukioppilas62

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: You block very little and given his large sizing on a wet board I think it's a bit optimistic to stack off.

The 3-bet might be ok to fold out some bluffs but you are risking $15 to win just $11.5 so it has to work a lot.

So all in all folding is best imo.


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tukioppilas62
Joined: 01.01.2011

Hi,

I would like to know the formula how to count how often does a raise have to work to show profit. I know it's not that simple in most situations but just like expecting hero to have 0 % showdownvalue. As an example, villain opens button hero defends bb w. 67o flop comes A22 villain bets. 2/3 pot. How much FE we need to show profit raising villain? This is the formula I'm looking for. Thx! :)


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clawindsouza
Joined: 08.12.2009

(Total raise size/total pot size) *100


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tukioppilas62
Joined: 01.01.2011

TY!! :)


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Originally posted by tukioppilas62
Hi,

I would like to know the formula how to count how often does a raise have to work to show profit. I know it's not that simple in most situations but just like expecting hero to have 0 % showdownvalue. As an example, villain opens button hero defends bb w. 67o flop comes A22 villain bets. 2/3 pot. How much FE we need to show profit raising villain? This is the formula I'm looking for. Thx! :)

You raise X to win Y (Y includes the pot plus his bet).

So it's [X / (X + Y)] * 100.

Example: villain cbets $5 into $10. You raise to $15.

($15 / $15 + $15 ) * 100 = 50%.

Now of course this doesn't take into account your equity in the pot and later streets.


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