Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

JJ squeezed pot

3 Posts
2 Users
0 Reactions
114 Views
6804alefito
Joined: 18.12.2008

Hi!

his range is very capped here, MP was a whale so he's never gonna have JJ+ , probably not even TT, 99 is most likely borderline between 3bet and CC, but let's assume he has 99 and below, some broadways like KJs QJs, and i dont think his range is much wider than that

My line should look very strong in his eyes, i think he's never floating broadways when i cbet OOP against 2 including a whale, so that leaves his poket pairs (he might even fold 88 99 sometimes, but lets assume he calls)

The Q shouldn't hit his range at all, at the same time im not sure what hands am i getting value from if i bet, he's gonna fold 99 88, so i feel like betting here is pretty much turning JJ into a bluff. The only hand i might get value is 77.

If i check is it to check fold? im kinda lost here

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

UTG: $17.35 (69.4 bb)
MP: $20.87 (83.5 bb)
CO: $32.12 (128.5 bb)
BTN: $34.73 (138.9 bb)
Hero (SB): $25.10 (100.4 bb)
BB: $30.64 (122.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J J
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.50, CO folds, BTN calls $0.50, Hero raises to $2.48, BB folds, MP calls $1.98, BTN calls $1.98

Flop: ($7.69) 6 5 4 (3 players)
Hero bets $4, MP folds, BTN calls $4

Turn: ($15.69) Q (2 players)
Hero??


Reply
Quote
2 replies
cutegoldfish
Joined: 19.11.2009

Hi,

pre flop - BU range here is weighted towards midlde pocket pairs and broadways something like 77-TT KQ J.

flop -easy bet

turn - i like to check/call here, the Q hits his range and we dont have 3 streets of value against middle pair but yet a hand like AJ which would fold to our turn bet could bluff us so i like check/call for max value, and check/fold or check/call river. ill check/fold TT here and check/call JJ on blank river.

Thanks
Cutegoldfish


Reply
Quote
6804alefito
Joined: 18.12.2008

thanks for the analysis.

Im not sure i agree that he has AJ or even some Qx in his range, preflop he can have those holdings for sure, but on the flop when i cbet on a sqz pot, against a whale, on a pretty bad board, i don't really think he's floating Ax or Qx.

i been trying to figure out his range, i think he might still have stuff like 33 and 77, A7 , maybe 98 although he's most likely folding flop. If i check the turn im not sure if he's gonna make a semi-bluff with 33 and 77, with his 88 99 he is probably checking back too, and A7 is probably betting, so yeah i think it might be a check call against A7 and 77 or 33 if he decides to bluff with it, but i think his range is way narrower than you think, it is nitring :P


Reply
Quote