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zOmO #50 - AQo, 3bp, fancy river play?

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Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

SB: $65.26 (130.5 bb)
BB: $50 (100 bb)
UTG: $50 (100 bb)
MP: $55.33 (110.7 bb)
CO: $60.82 (121.6 bb)
Hero (BTN): $57.81 (115.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q A
3 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, SB raises to $3.50, BB folds, Hero calls $2.25

Flop: ($7.50) 2 9 T (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($7.50) 2 (2 players)
SB bets $5.25, Hero calls $5.25

River: ($18) 9 (2 players)
SB bets $10.50, Hero??

Sample is really small, but it just shows that we are playing vs regular.
Info on villain:

Spoiler

So questions are:
1) What he is trying to sell us here with his sizing pre? Do we call or 4b?
2) Should we bet this IP on flop?
3) Do we call his turn bet?
4) Whats our river decision? He is targeting pockets like 66-88 with his bet since i checked back the flop?
5) Can he play AK like this?
6) Can we fold out his Tx?

As played:

Spoiler

River: ($18) 9 (2 players)
SB bets $10.50, Hero raises to $49.06 and is all-in, SB folds

Im not sure about such play, because it feels that i had the best hand anyway.
Should i risk less?


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3 replies
cutegoldfish
Joined: 19.11.2009
Elite Grinder

Hi,

He's not cb that much so we should fold the river and his 3bet range is pretty tight and with AQ our showdown value is lower than usual so betting it is probably fine.

He seems to be playing overpair this way that does not have a diamond and afraid of getting raised which is why he checked the flop and then barrel for value turn and river. He's not representing much but yet his range is also very strong.

Fold out Tx? that's too much to ask for and his range is stronger than that.

Thanks
Xavierfok


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_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

Why you assume his 3bet range is tight? We got low sample which might be inaccurate, but i see that he is capable to 3bet in the blinds. Also his sizing is kinda small OOP.

What would you fold on river vs such play?
Btw i don't rep much neither since im betting almost everything on this flop.


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cutegoldfish
Joined: 19.11.2009
Elite Grinder

Hi,.

His stats does not seem to indicate he's 3betting a wide range. I'm not saying I'm confident he's 3bettinf tight. I'm saying he's more likely to be tight than loose from his stats.

Yes his sizing is kinda small but it's not super ridiculous enough for us to think he's going wider here.

I think I'll fold everything except TX or better. He might bluff but it's not that often.

Thanks
Xavierfok


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