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NL2 SH ZOOM KK Hero fold or missed EV?

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Balonger93
Joined: 02.04.2014

Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $2.21 (110.5 bb)
BB: $2 (100 bb)
UTG: $3.43 (171.5 bb)
MP: $4.39 (219.5 bb)
Hero (CO): $5.91 (295.5 bb)
BTN: $4 (200 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with K K
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.06, BTN calls $0.06, SB calls $0.05, BB folds

Flop: ($0.20) 2 3 J (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.12, BTN folds, SB calls $0.12

Turn: ($0.44) 8 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.30, SB raises to $1.16, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$1.04 pot ($0.04 rake)
Final Board: 2 3 J 8
SB mucked and won $1 ($0.52 net)
Hero mucked K K and lost (-$0.48 net)

Preflop: KK OR pretty standard
Flop: Cbet for value, could be a bit bigger, but board is pretty dry.
Turn: I was betting for value again, I wanted to get my money from 44-99, Jx, overcards types of hands. After that, it was basically an all-in. Which meant I had to call 1,73 to win 2,77. Also, I needed 38,4% equity.

I was toying around with Poker Ranger, and if I put him on a JJ+, 88, 22, 33, AJ range my equity is actually 47,3%

If I put him on a range of JJ, 88, 22, 33 however, my equity is 4,55%

In the game I was pretty damn sure he had a set, but looking back now, I can certainly imagine him trapping with AA, KK, QQ. Also, he could have check-raised turn with an AJ, seeing the spade, either to protect his TPTK against a flush, or having AsJs himself and getting value. Still, most players would bet themselves I believe.

Even then, I think most players would only play their sets that way, and villain was an unknown, so folding was probably the right choice. But if I had info on the villain that he likes check-raising, it would it be +EV to shove in this situation?


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Balonger93,

Preflo is fine.

Cbet for value is good.

Turn cbet for value is good. Usually it's safer to assume villain has the tighter of the ranges you mentioned when he makes a large check-raise on the turn. Folding is generally good.


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