Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:
$0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Known players:
[tg]BU$25.97:///////;SB (Hero)$28.32:///////;BB$86.45:///////;MP2$33.88:///////;MP3$27.27:///////;CO$25.00:///////;[/tg]
Preflop: Hero is SB with 8:h, 6:h.
3 folds, BU raises to $0.85, Hero raises to $2.50, BB folds, BU calls $1.65.
Flop: ($5.25) 7:d, 2:s, K:c (2 players)
Hero bets $2.75, BU calls $2.75.
Turn: ($10.75) 5:d (2 players)
Hero bets $5.50, BU calls $5.50.
River: ($21.75) 5:c (2 players)
Hero checks, BU checks.
Final Pot: $21.75.
Results follow:
Hero shows a pair of fives(8h 6h).
BU shows two pairs, kings and fives(Qc Ks).
BU wins with two pairs, kings and fives(Qc Ks).
he is unknown .
if he folds 88-TT on the turn,I thought its profitable to semibluff .
do average players would fold to this bet size with those hands?
and want to know how to calculate break even fold equity on the turn,
equity of OESD is16% ,and lets say he folds all hands other than Kx and Kx would call to all in on the river .
risk :5.5 but if get called ,I can win 16%
so 21.75*0.16=3.48 would come back
5.5-3.48=2.02
gain 10.75+15.22(profit of River)=25.99
so 100*2/28(2+26)=7%
if he folds more than 7% ,its + EV,right?
