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NL100 AJs in sqeezed pot

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cleoclaudiu
Joined: 13.04.2010

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $199.52 (199.5 bb)
BB: $63.07 (63.1 bb)
UTG+1: $34.80 (34.8 bb)
UTG+2: $46.50 (46.5 bb)
MP1: $98.50 (98.5 bb)
MP2: $40.22 (40.2 bb)
MP3: $138.40 (138.4 bb)
CO: $69.44 (69.4 bb)
BTN: $184.90 (184.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J A
4 folds, MP3 raises to $3, CO calls $3, BTN folds, Hero raises to $13, BB folds, MP3 calls $10, CO folds

Flop: ($30) J T 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets $19, Hero calls $19

Turn: ($68) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets $30, Hero calls $30

River: ($128) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets $76.40 and is all-in

Villain is 16/12 with 4.3 3bet. 55% fold 2 sqeeze as PFR and 2.9% 4bet range.

I decided to let him bet because he has a 53% bet vs missed cbet. His agresions are: 46, 44, 31

Notes : -TQo utg r/shove vs hero sqeeze


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Checking is fine on the Flop - I don't think 53% bet vs missed cbet is very high - Looks very standard to me.

River: This card will get bluffed at 100% of the time IMO. Question is whether you have enough equity to call down. You beat KQ and AQ, maybe even AK here (AK doesn't 4b pre given the nit ring dynamics + deep stacks).

I would def call down.


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