PokerStars - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 23.42, PFR: 18.92, 3Bet Preflop: 4.55, Hands: 111)
SB: 96.12 BB (VPIP: 41.38, PFR: 31.03, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 29)
BB: 245.4 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
UTG: 125.64 BB (VPIP: 19.64, PFR: 15.68, 3Bet Preflop: 7.58, Hands: 1,538)
Hero (MP): 124.02 BB
CO: 115.46 BB (VPIP: 18.34, PFR: 12.03, 3Bet Preflop: 7.52, Hands: 355)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♥ A♥
UTG raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 2 BB
Flop: (9.5 BB, 3 players) 8♥ 3♣ 9♥
BB checks, UTG bets 6.5 BB, Hero raises to 16 BB, fold, UTG calls 9.5 BB
Turn: (41.5 BB, 2 players) K♥
UTG checks, Hero bets 24 BB, UTG calls 24 BB
River: (89.5 BB, 2 players) 7♥
UTG checks, Hero bets 38 BB, UTG calls 38 BB
I usually call fd with two overs especially those with showdown value, and I raise smaller fd and few nut fd, gutshots like JQs, but I think I should look for max EV multiway and not having much balanced range.
So do you think that in this spot raise is better EV than call? Somehow when I call and flush completes and I start with agression people usually give credit and fold. Well, I use this fact also when I have oesd, or turn marginal pair into bluff (unbalanced, exploitatively). Downside is that if he has set he can direct shove, but he has many more overs and worse draws than sets which makes me raise.
I would raise also JQs here, and thats all from bluffs. Strong hands I tend to call vs utg range and raise on later streets because he has many more overpairs than flush draws, and expect regs to b/f overpairs 3way.
Bet sizes ?