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77 2nd set deep

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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

PokerStars - $1 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 358.06 BB
SB: 522.6 BB (VPIP: 47.50, PFR: 30.00, 3Bet Preflop: 23.53, Hands: 40)
BB: 50.14 BB (VPIP: 27.66, PFR: 12.77, 3Bet Preflop: 8.70, Hands: 49)
UTG: 102 BB (VPIP: 24.66, PFR: 19.18, 3Bet Preflop: 7.46, Hands: 152)
MP: 122.5 BB (VPIP: 38.10, PFR: 19.05, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
CO: 102.05 BB (VPIP: 25.51, PFR: 21.79, 3Bet Preflop: 7.83, Hands: 555)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 7♦ 7♥

UTG raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 2 BB, SB raises to 9 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 7 BB

Flop: (21 BB, 2 players) K♥ 7♠ 2♦
SB bets 12 BB, Hero calls 12 BB

Turn: (45 BB, 2 players) 8♦
SB bets 22 BB, Hero calls 22 BB

River: (89 BB, 2 players) T♦
SB checks, Hero bets 60 BB, SB calls 60 BB

Spoiler

Hero shows 7♦ 7♥ (Three of a Kind, Sevens) (Pre 54%, Flop 98%, Turn 100%)
SB mucks J♥ K♣ (One Pair, Kings) (Pre 46%, Flop 2%, Turn 0%)
Hero wins 206.2 BB

I am not sure if I should raise. Somehow if I would raise flop I he will continue with AK, AA, KK, and I am not sure at which point he is going to fold top pairs and continue only KK. So I think it can be really ugly if he 3bets, but I am not sure if it is reason not to raise here.

As I see result, he is fish so too bad that I didnt raise him. I also thought that If i raise on dry board that he is going to fold top pairs vs unknown?

It seems that it is better to have nut fd in 3bet pot deep, or to hit nuts straight in order to play comfortable for stacks than PP ?


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Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Raising flop is interesting, since this deep I can see merit for it. Raising all sets here weakens the calling range a lot and as you said, it's not like you want to stack off for over 700b. Hmm, I think I would end up just calling the flop almost always but I could be wrong and raising is better.

Regardless, on turn you I think the analysis is similar to flop, both raising and calling has merit. River I think is the only mistake in my book. I would bet closer to pot size here when checked to. I think people are not folding Kx+ when they check the river.


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