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99 defend from BB

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Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $16.81 (168.1 bb)
Hero (BB): $10 (100 bb)
UTG+1: $10 (100 bb)
UTG+2: $9.90 (99 bb)
MP1: $16.22 (162.2 bb)
MP2: $19.17 (191.7 bb)
MP3: $10.01 (100.1 bb)
CO: $7 (70 bb)
BTN: $12.92 (129.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 9 9
5 folds, CO raises to $0.20, BTN folds, SB raises to $0.50, Hero calls $0.40, CO folds

Flop: ($1.20) A 6 7 (2 players)
SB bets $0.60, Hero calls $0.60

Turn: ($2.40) 2 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($2.40) 9 (2 players)
SB bets $1.10, Hero raises to $3.30, SB raises to $15.71 and is all-in, Hero calls $5.60 and is all-in

Results:

Spoiler

$20.20 pot ($0.91 rake)
Final Board: A 6 7 2 9
SB showed Q J and won $19.29 ($9.29 net)
Hero mucked 9 9 and lost (-$10 net)

My thought process is that if he is pushing with range [A6, A7, A2, 67, AA(?), 66, 77, 22, AK, AQ, AJ, AT, KQ, KJ, KT, QJ, QT] I have at least 65% equity.

So considering that I get 28% pot odds this call is correct right.

I am asking this because at the time it seemed like such a marginal call that I did while already knowing that I was beat. I thought that I would always be beat in this spot.

Do you think I estimate his range to loosely or do you think that this is actually a profitable call.


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1 reply

Hello,

I think that his range probably doesn't include hands like 22/A6/A7 as he'd probably not 3bet with those, but I would expect him to bet his flushes on the turn, so I would play the same way.

Best,
Plamen


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