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NL25 SH Zoom MPvsCO AA ch/r R

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SgtJackColt
Joined: 06.03.2011

PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: $44.81
SB: $37.16
BB: $49.54
UTG: $11.68
Hero (MP): $72.37
CO: $31.26

SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has A♣ A♦

fold, Hero raises to $0.75, CO calls $0.75, fold, fold, fold

Flop: ($1.85, 2 players) T♠ 4♠ J♣
Hero bets $1.20, CO calls $1.20

Turn: ($4.25, 2 players) A♠
Hero bets $3.30, CO calls $3.30

River: ($10.85, 2 players) J♥
Hero checks

Villain is a 4 tabling reg (1k hands):

VPIP = 20%
PFR = 16%
3bet = 7%
Ftcbet F = 43%

What do you think of ch/r R? I expect all Jx, KQ and flushes+ to bet. Downside: I can't set river bet size myself. I don't know how often and which hands he checks behind. I don't know how often he calls my ch/r. Upside: I generate extra value if he calls. Maybe his bet River (overall) stat is a little indication. It's 34% (12/35), pretty normal I think.


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double2
Joined: 04.11.2008

Hi,

pre flop and flop look fine

Turn I actually think we have a though spot. Average reg flatting CO and then calling flop, his range really looks like KQ and 1 or 2 combos of spades. Also we are blocking AJ hard. And he probably folds KJ/QJ turn without a spade (and he probably only has KJs and QJs in his range). Either away he is probably not raising KQ on the turn so we are not getting raised often so betting again should be fine.

River is interesting. I think around 90% of villains range is KQ, I am not 100% sure that he his betting all of them vs a check (and Jx is checking back a bunch IMO). But I am fairly sure that he is not calling a x/r. So we should bet ourselves and hope he doesn't Hero fold. I would not bet very large. 8$ is fine.


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SgtJackColt
Joined: 06.03.2011

Thanks for your comment!


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